Napoleon Bonaparte said of China:
“Let her sleep, for when she wakes, she will shake the world.”

Two hundred-plus years later China and its impact on the Asia-Pacific (in recent  times often referred to as the Indo-Pacific) region, is fulfilling Bonaparte’s prediction.

To be sure, the epicentre of the world is shifting from the Western-European post-World War Two American ‘model,’ of geo-strategic dominance–which is essentially an advance on what has become known colloquially known as the ‘Vasco da Gama’ era–to a world that will be Sino-driven, especially in the A-P.   Australia will, in due course and because of its geographic location and its previous policy-making, be at the forefront of what will become a contested arena.

Commentary is offered in the below mentioned categories, and is viewed through the prism of evidence-based argument

  • A-P/I-P regional geo-strategic and geo-political analyses;
  • Rise of China/rise of India;
  • Conflict forecasting and interpretation;
  • Terrorism analysis;
  • War studies; and
  • Foreign policy relevant to conflict.


This blog is premised upon, and underpinned by independent, informative and succinct analysis without fear or favour.

It is a registered business and consultancy is available.  Through the aforementioned prism, all erudite investigation is meant to offer information and analysis and offer a deeper view of geo-strategic  and geo-political happenings.  All analysis, whether tailored or general, is  accompanied by scholarly information  and interpretation, which is where necessary  further formed and informed by an historical evidence-base.

This blog offers written and audio commentary and has at its core, an understanding that unless foreign and domestic policies on the part of numerous actors develop a more developed cosmopolitan and articulate approach, there will be a war in the  A-P. 

Geo-strategic and geo-political independent comment, analysis and assessments within the aforementioned areas and included where necessary related issues, such as Australian, European, Central Asian, East Asian, Southeast Asian and  American domestic politics are able to be addressed.

All of the information contained in this blog is © Strobe Driver, and may be used with appropriate citation.

The link to my doctoral thesis can be found on my Curriculum Vitae page.

Recipient: Taiwan Fellowship 2018, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Taiwan, ROC.

Dr. Strobe Driver


Recent publications and other relevant commentary:


November, 2018

Hell hath no fury: the makings of a Turnbull return


August, 2018

The vagaries of US ‘commitment’


June, 2018

From Possible to Probable: The Dynamics of a Taiwan – China War


Taiwan must prepare for blockade


May, 2018

What war would mean for Taiwan


April, 2018

Irredentism, Nationalism and a Looming Asia-Pacific War


Thinking through the US’ ‘closer ties’


Feb, 2018

China following West’s example


Sept, 2017

A New Age of Violence: Terrorism as an Asymmetrical and ‘Existential’ Threat


May, 2017

Winning Hostilities Without War: United  States- North Korea Machinations


Federation University: Cultural Enquiry and Research Group

Presentation:  ‘The Dragon is Swimming’: How China is following the West’s ‘model of expansionism’ in the South China Sea



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