Napoleon Bonaparte said of China:
“Let her sleep, for when she wakes, she will shake the world.”
Two hundred-plus years later China and its impact on the Asia-Pacific (in recent times often referred to as the Indo-Pacific) region, is fulfilling Bonaparte’s prediction.
To be sure, the epicentre of the world is shifting from the Western-European post-World War Two American ‘model,’ of geo-strategic dominance–which is essentially an advance on what has become known colloquially known as the ‘Vasco da Gama’ era–to a world that will be Sino-driven, especially in the A-P. Australia will, in due course and because of its geographic location and its previous policy-making, be at the forefront of what will become a contested arena.
Commentary is offered in the below mentioned categories, and is viewed through the prism of evidence-based argument
- A-P/I-P regional geo-strategic and geo-political analyses;
- Rise of China/rise of India;
- Conflict forecasting and interpretation;
- Terrorism analysis;
- War studies; and
- Foreign policy relevant to conflict.
This blog is premised upon, and underpinned by independent, informative and succinct analysis without fear or favour.
It is a registered business and consultancy is available. Through the aforementioned prism, all erudite investigation is meant to offer information and analysis and offer a deeper view of geo-strategic and geo-political happenings. All analysis, whether tailored or general, is accompanied by scholarly information and interpretation, which is where necessary further formed and informed by an historical evidence-base.
This blog offers written and audio commentary and has at its core, an understanding that unless foreign and domestic policies on the part of numerous actors develop a more developed cosmopolitan and articulate approach, there will be a war in the A-P.
Geo-strategic and geo-political independent comment, analysis and assessments within the aforementioned areas and included where necessary related issues, such as Australian, European, Central Asian, East Asian, Southeast Asian and American domestic politics are able to be addressed.
All of the information contained in this blog is © Strobe Driver, and may be used with appropriate citation.
The link to my doctoral thesis can be found on my Curriculum Vitae page.
Recipient: Taiwan Fellowship 2018, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Taiwan, ROC.
Dr. Strobe Driver
Recent publications and other relevant commentary:
The vagaries of US ‘commitment’
From Possible to Probable: The Dynamics of a Taiwan – China War
Taiwan must prepare for blockade
What war would mean for Taiwan
Irredentism, Nationalism and a Looming Asia-Pacific War
Thinking through the US’ ‘closer ties’
China following West’s example
A New Age of Violence: Terrorism as an Asymmetrical and ‘Existential’ Threat
Winning Hostilities Without War: United States- North Korea Machinations
Federation University: Cultural Enquiry and Research Group
Presentation: ‘The Dragon is Swimming’: How China is following the West’s ‘model of expansionism’ in the South China Sea